After five years of economic crisis
In peripheral countries such as Greece, Portugal, Italy and Spain, the political class has been clearly overwhelmed by the crisis and its devastating effects, says commentator Carlos Díaz Güell.
eurocrisis
James Robinson: “All European countries bear some responsibility”
WASHINGTON. “If there’s a debt, someone had to lend and someone had to borrow,” said in a conversation with The Corner James Robinson, former White House chief of staff and Harvard professor. Time to review the north-south narrative of the euro zone.
US Achilles’ heel flashes a € sign on it
The US Federal Reserve can apply monetary measures as often as it wishes, but there is one factor that escapes its command and, nevertheless, stops markets from recovering. It’s called the euro.
Has Europe overcome its woes?
MADRID | Draghi’s apparent resoluteness in shouldering the euro has dramatically turned the tide. No action has followed his words and yet the July nightmare has switched this month into a soothing dream. Undoubtedly investors were eager to take on board any good news reversing the excessive downside overshoot in the markets. Europeans leaders have also helped by wholeheartedly enjoying their holidays. For once, they have refrained from voicing the…
“Grexit would be good for the euro, but not for German exports”
By Tania Suárez, in Madrid | Fernando Luque is analyst and editor for Morningstar. In a conversation with The Corner, he said that Greece will not withdraw the euro because “that possibility is no good for anybody, neither for Greece, nor for Germany.” Luque explains that there are no shortcuts to solve the Greek crisis, but that will not necessarily damage other peripheral countries such as Italy or Spain. Question.-…
There is no plot against the euro
By Luis Arroyo, in Madrid | Here you are, Spain’s updated accrued passive account with Target2 or intra-system operations pending compensation. Its sheer volume and the scale by which it increases clearly expose that we are in for our troubles. How can the euro zone authorities postpone solutions until September? The scenario does not look good. The chart registers data from the Bank of Spain until June. The debt goes…
How long until core euro countries hurt?
The seemingly dead weight of the peripheral economies continues to mark a divide within the common currency region. The overall picture, unavoidably, registers the cut. GDP fell by 0.2% in both the euro area and the EU during the second quarter of 2012, compared with the previous quarter. Also according to flash estimates published by Eurostat Tuesday, in the first quarter of 2012, growth rates were zero in both zones. Compared with…
The Italian elephant in the euro room
MADRID | Unmistakably, the reflection that the Italian economic indicators are mirroring should look very familiar to Spanish analysts. The slowdown wave is reaching core Europe too, by the way, as the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development reported this week: the European economies, whether using the ill-established common currency or one on their own, have been found to relate to each other in a more interconnected manner than previously…
It’s the public sector restructuring, Spain!
Unless the Spanish government tackles the reform of the State administration, it is bound to follow the fate of Greece, Ireland and Portugal. Any positive impact of hints coming from the European Central Bank about lending a hand to maintain the country’s access to the markets will eventually fade away. Indeed, it is happening again. Most analysts in the financial City of Madrid said so in as many words in…
Italy’s GDP worse than forecast
Yields on Italian 10-year bonds will keep under tension after the latest economic data brought investors a negative surprise. The country’s GDP suffered a further contraction of -2.5 percent year on year in the second quarter of 2012: the previous figure had been -1.4 percent and market expectations had pointed at -2.3 percent. Industrial production played a major role, with a -7.9 percent year on year rate that was 2.4…