Germany

In Europe 7th September 2023

German factory orders fall sharply in July: -11.7% vs. -4% expected and +7.6% previous

Bankinter: German Factory Orders fell sharply in July. Factory Orders were down -11.7% vs. – the -4.0% expected and +7.6% previous (revised from +7.0%). Assessment: This is bad news for the German industrial sector and further evidence of the weaknesses of the eurozone benchmark country’s economy. Despite the upward revision of the previous figure, July’s figure turned out to be out much worse than expected and registered its lowest since…

In Europe 30th August 2023

Germany agrees corporate tax cut worth €6.5bn for companies and €2.4bn for households

Banca March: Germany has agreed to make a corporate tax cut totalling €6.5 billion. After Sunday’s tense negotiations between Lisa Paus, Minister for Family Affairs and member of the Green Party, and Christian Linder, Minister of Finance and member of the Social Democratic Party, the German government finally agreed on a total of €6.5 billion. In the end, €6.5 billion were earmarked for companies and €2.4 billion for households. The…

European economy, European politics, Relevant News Item 22nd August 2023

Germany proposes restrictions on Chinese direct investment in sectors like semiconductors, AI and quantum computing

Banca March| German Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck, Germany’s finance minister and a member of the Green party, is proposing restrictions on sectors where Chinese influence could pose a threat to Western economic security. These include semiconductors, artificial intelligence and quantum computing. These measures are framed in a context of debate and criticism of China’s geopolitical situation; authoritarianism in the country, military threats against Taiwan and ties with Russia. On the…

European economy 6th July 2023

Germany to return to austerity with 6.4% spending cuts foreseen by 2024

BancaMarch: The German Council of Ministers on Wednesday approved the draft budget for 2024, in which it plans to return to the path of fiscal consolidation and which envisages an increase in defence spending and cuts in all other departments, among which the most affected are transport, science and the family. Spending will thus have to fall by 6.4%, from €476.3 billion in 2023 to €445.7 billion the following year….

European economy 28th June 2023

German 2s10s curve inverted to two-decade highs

The German 2s10s curve has inverted to two-decade highs, surpassing the levels seen in March. Macro continues to slow and Morgan Stanley (MS) analysts lower their growth forecasts for Europe with the German IFO contracting, for the second consecutive month more than expected by both consensus and Morgan Stanley… and in line with last Friday’s disappointing European PMIs. The bad data is again concentrated in the deterioration of the expectations…

In Europe 21st June 2023

Energy sector pushes German PPI to decelerate 1.4% again in May

Link Securities| The German Federal Statistical Office yesterday published that Germany’s producer price index (PPI) fell 1.4% in May compared to April, significantly more than the 0.7% decline expected by FactSet’s consensus of analysts. On a year-on-year-year basis, Germany’s PPI rebounded by 1.0% in the month of May (4.1% in April), a reading that was also well below the 1.7% increase expected by analysts. May’s year-on-year PPI growth rate was…

European economy, In Europe 22nd May 2023

German industrial production prices decelerate sharply to 4.1% (vs 6.7%)

Bankinter : German industrial producer prices decelerated sharply in April to +4.1% year-on-year vs +4.3% expected and +6.7% previously (revised from +7.5%). In the month, +0.3% vs -0.5% expected and -1.4% previously (revised from -2.6%). Assessment: Industrial production prices have come out better than expected. After peaking in August 2022 (+45.8% year-on-year) and maintaining this pace in September, the level of prices has now accumulated seven consecutive months of slowdown…

European economy, In Europe 11th May 2023

German inflation falls to 7.2 per cent in April from 7.4 per cent in March

CoM| Headline inflation in Germany fell to 7.2% year-on-year in April from 7.4% in March, matching the consensus forecast and the first estimate. The harmonised rate declined by 0.2 p.p. to 7.6%, also in line with the first estimate and the consensus. The underlying rate, which excludes energy and food, remained at 5.8 per cent. “The inflation rate has weakened for the second month in a row, but remains at…

European economy, In Europe 9th May 2023

Germany’s industrial production falls more than expected in March

Bankinter : Industrial Production falls more than expected in March. The year-on-year rate remains positive On a month-on-month basis, Industrial Production fell by -3.4% in March versus -1.5% year-on-year and +2.1% year-on-year. On a year-on-year basis, it remains positive +1.8% from +0.7% year-on-year. Assessment: The rapid rise in global interest rates is affecting the demand for industrial goods in Germany. The same trend was evident in Germany’s March Factory Orders…

European economy, In Europe, Markets 24th April 2023

Surprise bounce in services flash PMIs in France and Germany means new dilemma for ECB

Santander Corporate & Investment’s flash services PMIs released this morning will once again be a headache for the ECB, as they show an unexpectedly strong rebound in France at a delicate time of rallies (56.3, 53.5e, 53.9p). But also in Germany (55.7, 53.4e, 53.7p). And at a time when services inflation remains one of the real workhorses as our economists recalled after the release of the final March figure a…

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