Portugal

European economy 21st May 2024

Fitch maintains Spain’s rating at A- and outlook “Stable”, while Moody’s keeps Portugal’s rating and outlook at A3 “Stable”

Bankinter | Fitch maintains Spain’s rating at A- and the outlook “Stable”, given the resilience of the economy and the improvement in the labour market. Fitch estimates GDP growth of 2.1% and 2.0% for 2024 and 2025 respectively. Moreover, the credit rating agency points to the need to address the high structural unemployment rate. No surprises for our analysts: “Fitch maintains its credit rating one notch below S&P’s equivalent at…

In Spain 11th March 2024

José Montenegro’s right-wing alliance wins Portugal elections

José Alves (Capital Madrid) | The alliance of parties formed around the Democratic Alliance (AD), José Montenegro’s party, has won the elections held in Portugal this Sunday. He will not, however, be able to form a government unless he accepts the offer of the former ruling Chega party to support him, which does not seem likely if he fulfils his election promise. It will be the President of the Republic,…

In Europe 8th November 2023

Portuguese Prime Minister António Costa resigns over corruption scandal

Portugal’s Prime Minister António Costa has resigned after being implicated in a corruption scandal. On Tuesday morning the Portuguese Public Prosecutor’s Office announced that it was launching an investigation against him for possible prevarication, active and passive corruption, and influence peddling in lithium and hydrogen deals. Costa has acknowledged that he has not committed any crime, but has decided to put an end to eight years of a government that…

Spanish economy 29th March 2023

Sacyr, FCC, Ferrovial and ACS to bid for Portugal’s €3-billion HSR

Spanish construction companies have set their sights on the biggest infrastructure project to be tendered this year in the Iberian Peninsula: the high-speed railway line that will connect Lisbon with Oporto. According to the newspaper El Economista, ACS, Ferrovial, Sacyr, FCC, OHLA and Acciona are outlining the consortiums to bid for the first tenders of the infrastructure, whose development has been structured in three phases to be completed in 2030…

European economy 28th December 2022

Portugal, mixed signals at the end to the year

Caixabank Research | The strength of economic activity in Q3 is confirmed, but there are growing signs of a slowdown. It has been confirmed that in Q3 2022 GDP grew by 4.9%, with positive contributions from both domestic and foreign demand of2.9 and 2.0 pps, respectively. In the short term, we expect to see a slowdown in economic activity, especially over the winter months, due to the impact of the…

European economy 27th May 2022

Portugal: In Q1 2022, GDP Exceeded Its Pre-COVID Level By 1.2%

Caixabank Research | Surprisingly, GDP grew by 2.6% quarter-on-quarter and by 11.9% year-on-year thanks to the strength of private consumption and the recovery in tourism. This result suggests that our current forecast for GDP growth for the year as a whole (4.2%) may prove to be too conservative. However, given the risk of a deterioration due to the impact of the conflict in Ukraine and the cooling of demand from…

European economy, European politics 2nd February 2022

Portuguese Far Left Throws Away Leverage

Nick Ottens (Atlantic Sentinel) | António Costa no longer needs them for a majority. Portugal’s far left put purity before power and lost power. Until 2015, neither the Communists nor Left Bloc had ever been in government. That year, the Socialists fell short of a majority and António Costa made a deal with the smaller parties. In return for policies like free textbooks in schools and a higher minimum wage,…

Ibex, Markets 13th February 2020

Merlin Properties Will Be A Socimi In Portugal When The Country’s Legislation Opens Up To EU Firms

Merlin Properties’ CEO, Ismael Clemente, said it will take advantage of Portugal’s socimi regime when the country’s legislation is open to the incorporation of the so-called ‘community passport’ for companies from other European countries. Clemente was speaking at the III Iberian REIT Conference. Merlin has been in Portugal since 2015. Together with Spain, it is the firm’s strategic market.

Spanish economy 11th February 2020

What Spain And Italy Could Learn From Portugal’s Public Finances

Portugal’s political stability and its government’s renewed commitment to consolidate public finances will keep its public debt ratio on a firm downward path, in contrast with Spain and Italy. Portugal’s economic and fiscal adjustment since the crisis has been impressive, says Scope Ratings.

In Europe, Markets 30th May 2019

Portugal fundamentals, at similar levels to Spain and Italy, according to Fitch

Morgan Stanley | Fitch has raised its rating perspective for Portugal to positive. This was unexpected and seems to support the market thesis that Portugal’s fundamentals are at similar levels to Spain and Italy. Our macro analysts agree but see posible downside risks.

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