Markets

mercados broker

Earnings revisions recover but seasonality points to further falls

Morgan Stanley: Last week, analysts noted that the S&P 500 earnings revision breadth had fallen below 0% for the first time in several months. Now, this breadth has reversed back to positive again. What is interesting is that earnings revisions breadth follows a pattern very much in line with historical seasonality, which would point to further declines in October. This observation is repeated globally so earnings revisions for 2024 could…


gas infrastructure

Uncertainty over winter gas supply: Dutch TTF gas price corrected by 7.5% on Thursday, after 28% hike

Renta 4: European stock markets point to a bearish opening (Eurostoxx futures -0.50%, after a Thursday session in which a better-than-expected US CPI data rebounded from the previous month (3.2% against 3.3% estimated and 3.0% previously) encouraged the markets in the last part of the session in Europe, only to end up deflating at the close of the American session. Although the rise from the previous month is minimal, US…


UE gas

Price of TTF natural gas contracts reaches 40% increase, exceeding €40/MWh

Renta 4 : Stock markets point to a positive opening (Eurostoxx futures +0.67%), after a positive Wednesday session in Europe in which the markets welcomed the Italian government’s decision to limit the tax on banks announced last Monday. In this sense, the government has clarified that the tax cannot exceed 0.1% of the assets of the institutions and “will not have a significant impact” on those that are remunerating the…


bolsa reloj espana 2

Santander and BBVA drop between two and three points on stock market after new banking tax announced in Italy

Intermoney| Yesterday was a bad day for the Ibex (-0.6%) which saw the effect of the new tax on banks in Italy also felt in the Madrid selective, which, however, at least maintains an advance in 2023 of +13%, in line with the EuroStoxx. Among the stocks that suffered the most were Santander and BBVA, which dropped between 2 and 3 points. Unicaja and Sabadell also had a day to…


china exportaciones

China’s trade balance deepens economic slowdown

Renta 4: Stock markets point to a flat opening (Eurostoxx futures -0.07%), after a Monday session where there were no major corporate references after the conclusion of the 2Q23 results season (in the absence of Bayer today). In China, weak July trade balance figures were published, with exports falling at their fastest pace since February 2020 (-14.5% vs 12.5% estimated and 12.4% previously) and imports surprisingly down when an improvement…


iberdrola megachuli

Iberdrola reduces debt maturities in 2023 to less than €2 billion

Link Securities | Iberdrola (IBE) has reduced its debt maturities in 2023 to less than €2 billion, after obtaining €4.855 billion in new financing and extending the duration of €6.1 billion so far this year, as reported on Monday by Expansión newspaper based on Europa Press. Specifically, the electricity company has received the support of the market, having executed some 30 operations between loan extensions and new financing in the…


bancos financiacion recurso

European bank trade still has upside: at 7x P/E it still trades at 50% discount to the market

Morgan Stanley: 100% of the sector has beaten NII so far, still a clear buy. Álvaro Serrano (analyst) highlights another quarter of solid results from European banks with 100% beating NII (rising rates and lower deposit betas) and contained credit risk. That said, the good results and the lack of growth in RWAs allowed banks to boost shareholder distributions with several of them (CABK, DBK, HSBC, BARC…) announcing new buyback…


Telefonica

Zoom, the return of a company that is not the same as it was in 2019

Renta 4: The price reacts from levels of $60, historical lows of the stock during 2019, before emerging on the upside with the lockdowns of the pandemic. Although the stock is at the same levels as then, the company’s figures have nothing to do with those of that time, for example it has more than $5 billion, 25% of its capitalisation, in cash, without debt. In the short term it…


Brasserie servicios

Surprise bounce in services flash PMIs in France and Germany means new dilemma for ECB

Santander Corporate & Investment’s flash services PMIs released this morning will once again be a headache for the ECB, as they show an unexpectedly strong rebound in France at a delicate time of rallies (56.3, 53.5e, 53.9p). But also in Germany (55.7, 53.4e, 53.7p). And at a time when services inflation remains one of the real workhorses as our economists recalled after the release of the final March figure a…


bolsa espana reloj

Ibex 35 closes week at 9,415 points after dropping 0.37% on Friday

Nicolás López (Singular Bank) | Friday’s session closed in Europe with a mixed tone and slight variations in the main stock market indices. After the rises of the last few weeks, which have brought the indices back to their highs before the banking crisis, investors have been cautious in general as they wait for new references. In particular, the results season that has just started and the central banks’ meetings…