Morgan Stanley| Analysts have revised their European Union (EUA) carbon allowance price estimates downwards, after a 900% rally from 2018, and see little appeal at €80/tonne as the energy crisis has accelerated emissions reductions, pushing the team’s 2030 emissions estimates to be -14% below the 2019 pre-crisis outlook.They also expect the CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) to undergo a softer start to implementation or even a delay. The team estimates...

The CEO of Repsol, Josu Jon Imáz, took part on June 22 in a debate organised by the newspaper El Correo, and took the opportunity to warn of the hypocrisy, inefficiency and paradoxes of European energy policy.For example, in Spain it is forbidden – by law – to explore for and produce natural gas “and at the same time we are encouraging companies to bring gas from the United States,...

The CEO of Repsol, Josu Jon Imáz, took part on June 22 in a debate organised by the newspaper El Correo, and took the opportunity to warn of the hypocrisy, inefficiency and paradoxes of European energy policy.For example, in Spain it is forbidden – by law – to explore for and produce natural gas “and at the same time we are encouraging companies to bring gas from the United States,...

Santander Corporate & Investment | According to Bloomberg, European Commission Vice-president Maroš Šefčovič expects EU plans for joint natural gas purchases to take their first step next month. The commissioner cites initial estimates of a demand of 24 billion m3 over the next three years. Once the tender is launched in April, the EU expects the first contracts with suppliers in regions such as the US, the Middle East and...

Lidia Conde (Francfort) | Veronika Grimm (Rendsburg, Germany, 1971) sits on the German Federal Government’s Advisory Council of Economists, which analyses the country’s economic development on the basis of scientific criteria and publishes a report every autumn in which it expresses its analyses and forecasts. Following its opinion, the government in turn responds to the council’s recommendations. Now, Grimm predicts that the economy of the continent’s leading power will shrink...

Andrew Fraser (Aberdeen Standards) | They talk, but they don’t do,’ this is how the Queen expressed her frustration with world leaders on the eve of COP26. The same accusation could be levelled at the world’s major banks. They finance the world’s largest companies and have a huge role to play in halting climate change. But the opportunity has yet to be fully grasped. Banks could take a major part...