In Europe

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Eurozone economic activity shrinks in September for first time in seven months: composite PMI falls to 48.9 from 51

CdM | Eurozone private sector activity contracted in September for the first time in seven months, according to preliminary PMI data from Hamburg Commercial Bank and S&P Global, which also shows signs of weakening on the services side. In particular, the advance composite PMI for the euro area came in at 48.9 from 51 in the previous month, its worst reading in eight months. In the case of the services…


Barnier

Barnier’s new government faces 5.6% deficit by year’s end, far from Eurozone 3% target, and ‘very serious’ fiscal situation

Prime Minister Michel Barnier said in an interview yesterday that the fiscal situation is ‘very serious’. As most of France’s debt is issued on international markets, he stressed that ‘France’s credibility must be maintained’. He said that ‘I am not going to increase taxes on the French people as a whole’, but ‘I am not going to exclude the richest people from participating in the national effort that will have…


IPC varios Eurozona.

3% fall in energy prices vs. August 2023 drives Eurozone’s new disinflationary advance

Singular Bank: According to Eurostat’s final reading, in August the year-on-year rate of change of the Eurozone’s headline CPI stood at 2.2% (versus 2.6% in July), representing its lowest level in three years. In a situation in which monthly prices grew at a faster pace of 0.1% (versus 0.0% in July). This new advance in the disinflationary process was driven by the fall in energy prices of 3.0% with respect…


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Iberdrola inaugurates Saint-Brieuc wind farm, one of first two in France

Link Securities | Iberdrola (IBE) has inaugurated on Thursday in Brittany the Saint-Brieuc wind farm in France, one of the first two in the country, with 496 MW of capacity and an annual production of 2 million megawatt hours (MWh), as reported on Thursday by Bolsamania.com. This will provide safe, indigenous and emission-free energy to nearly one million people. With an investment of €2.4 billion, the project began to be…


alemania recesion

ZEW economic sentiment index disappoints again, falling to 3.6 points from 19.2 in August

Link Securities | The ZEW Institute published on Tuesday that its index measuring sentiment about Germany’s economy among large investors and analysts fell in its September reading to 3.6 points from 19.2 points in August, down to its lowest level since October 2023. The FactSet analyst consensus expected a much higher reading of 16.6 points. This brings the index to three consecutive months of declines. Meanwhile, the ZEW index, which…


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Eurozone generates trade surplus of €21.2 billion in July, well above July 2023’s €6.7 billion

Link Securities | According to the preliminary estimate of the data, released on Tuesday by Eurostat, the Eurozone generated in July a trade surplus with the rest of the world amounting to €21.2 billion (€21.7 billion in June), much higher than the €6.7 billion reached in July 2023 and the €18 billion expected by FactSet’s consensus analysts. In the month of July, exports of goods from the Eurozone to the…


IAG new

IAG: new merger options with TAP Portugal after failure with Air Europa

Banco Sabadell: After failing to go ahead with the purchase of Air Europa (AE) in the short term, there is TAP Portugal, which IAG has already winked at. We believe it makes strategic sense mainly because of its positioning in LatAm (market share close to 7%; with less overlap than AE) and because it deepens the concentration of the sector and also generates synergies (between €250-600 million according to our…


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CAF selected to bid for renovation of fleet of trams for Transport for London, with €250 million budget

Banc Sabadell | Transport for London (TfL) has just selected the four technologists (Alstom, Hitachi, Stadler and CAF) that can bid for the renewal of a 24-unit tram fleet that will be used to replace older trains on the Tramlink service in the Borough of Croydon, according to Expansión newspaper. The budget for the order could amount to €250 million. Assessment: positive news in the event of being awarded the…


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ECB to cut rates

Ben Nichols, Managing Director of RAW Capital Partners | Today’s decision aligned with market expectations, and recent macroeconomic data – such as Q2 GDP growth of 0.3% in the Eurozone – supports the ECB’s ongoing monetary easing strategy. Although inflation hasn’t yet hit the central bank’s 2% target, the Eurozone appears to be on a stable path to recovery, with GDP projected to grow by 1% in 2024. With the…


Novonordisk

Novo Nordisk’s slimming pill in development meets safety profile

Bankinter | Phase II trial of amucretin-based slimming pill has met targets. Patients lost 13% of their weight in 12 weeks. The drug candidate has the same gastrointestinal side effects, such as nausea and vomiting, as other incretin-based slimming agents. The company will present the study results next week at the European Association for the Study of Diabetes congress. Novo Nordisk will decide in 2025 whether to advance to Phase…