France

francia asamblea nacional

Fitch maintains France’s rating at AA-, but reduces outlook to Negative due to sharp rise in public deficit, potentially 6.1% at year’s end

Bankinter: Fitch maintained its rating at AA-, but downgraded its outlook to Negative. It justified its decision on the sharp rise in the Public Deficit: it is expected to close this year at 6.1%, far from the limit imposed by the EU, 3%, from Fitch’s previous estimate, 5.1%, and from the 2023 level, 5.5%. They do not expect it to reach the 3.0% target until 2029. Consistently, they estimate that…


francia asamblea nacional

France’s budget foresees €60 billion in spending cuts and tax hikes for rich and big companies

Norbolsa | French Finance Minister Antoine Armand commented on Friday that an adjustment budget was aimed at regaining control over debt, adding that the government was closely monitoring how financial markets view the French debt situation. Presenting its 2025 budget with plans for spending cuts and tax hikes worth €60 billion for the rich and big business to tackle a spiralling fiscal deficit, with a target of putting the deficit…


Francia economia

France to present fiscal consolidation plan of €15-18 billion and postpone reaching 3% deficit targets until 2029

Norbolsa | Leaks continue about the possible fiscal plan to be presented by Prime Minister Barnier. According to Le Parisien, next week he will present a €15-18 billion fiscal consolidation plan, while announcing a two-year delay until 2029 to reach the 3% deficit targets. These plans include extraordinary taxes for high incomes with which it hopes to raise €3 billion, and a further €8 billion to be raised from extra…


Barnier

Barnier’s new government faces 5.6% deficit by year’s end, far from Eurozone 3% target, and ‘very serious’ fiscal situation

Prime Minister Michel Barnier said in an interview yesterday that the fiscal situation is ‘very serious’. As most of France’s debt is issued on international markets, he stressed that ‘France’s credibility must be maintained’. He said that ‘I am not going to increase taxes on the French people as a whole’, but ‘I am not going to exclude the richest people from participating in the national effort that will have…


macron

Macron to not name prime minister until end of August, after Olympics are over

Banca March: Emmanuel Macron has announced that he will not appoint a prime minister until the end of August, once the Olympic Games are over. The French president declared that ‘until mid-August we must focus on the Olympics’. He also indicated that after that time and depending on the progress of the negotiations, it will be his responsibility to choose a prime minister and entrust him with the task of…


Francia Europa

France will need to raise €15 billion in additional tax revenues or savings to meet requirements of European authorities

Intermoney | In sovereign debt, the spread between the OAT and the Bund seems to be normalising and currently stands at 66 bp. As we have been explaining from IM, the governing coalition will have little room to expand spending and widen the deficit, considering that Brussels had put France in the excessive deficit procedure. What’s more, the next French government would have to stump up €15 billion in additional…


France

Only 19% of CAC 40 index is dependent on French economy

Matthieu de Clermont Head of Insurance and Regulatory Strategies (Allianz GI) | Amid a hung parliament, should investors hang around? While a hung parliament was expected, the second round of the French election still delivered a shock result: the far-right National Rally was pushed into third place in a result that triggers days if not weeks of negotiations between the parties to form a government. With the most seats, France’s…


Melenchon

Le Pen drops to third place and allows for a coalition of the left and Macron

In the second round of the French legislative elections, the leading force was the left-wing New Popular Front coalition, which won 182 seats in the National Assembly. This advance prevents a majority for the far-right National Rally – Marine Le Pen’s party – which won 143 seats and would thus be in third place, despite having won the first round. It also opens the door to a possible coalition between…


French elections

Le Pen wins first round of general elections in France with 33.5% of votes

The first round of the French legislative elections saw the unprecedented rise of Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party with 33.5% of the vote. The left, grouped in the New Popular Front, would win 28%. And President Macron’s party, Together for the Republic, would be left with 21%. The traditional right-wing Republicans won 10% in an election marked by a high turnout. According to polling institutes, it surpassed the 60%…


France's economy malaise

France elections and markets: a “Liz Truss moment” in the making?

Gregor MA Hirt Global CIO Multi Asset (Allianz GI) | French President Emmanuel Macron called a snap general election following the success of far-right parties in the EU elections in June. The first round of the election is to be held on 30 June followed by a final round a week later. According to the polls, the governing party – President Macron’s Renaissance – is set to lose power although…