banking sector

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European economy 20th March 2023

ECB to help banking sector, if needed, but considers it strong

Bankinter : The ECB raises the reference rates +50 b.p.: Deposit: +3.00%, Director +3.50% and Credit Marginal +3.75%. In line with what the ECB anticipated in February. However, it does not comment on future steps. It revises its inflation forecasts downwards, to +5.3% in 2023 (vs +6.3% previously estimated), +2.9% in 2024 (vs +3.4% previously) and +2.1% in 2025 (vs +2.3% previously). In her subsequent appearance, Lagarde says that upcoming…

Companies, Spanish economy 16th March 2023

Credit Suisse model not comparable to that of Spanish banks: combined risk would not exceed €1 billion

Renta 4 : Credit Suisse has asked the Swiss National Bank to lend it 50 billion Swiss francs (€50.6 billion) of liquidity to strengthen it pre-emptively. In addition, the bank has announced a senior debt offering. This aid comes after the bank announced a review of its 2021 and 2022 accounts after finding flaws in risk measurement, and its main shareholder with a 9.8% stake said it will not inject…

Companies, Ibex, Spanish economy 5th December 2022

With a 7.8x P/E and double digit total yield, Overweight for Caixabank

Morgan Stanley | The Spanish Banking Association (AEB) has reached an agreement with trade unions to raise salaries by 4.5% in 2023. This figure compares with the 5% increase in costs which analysts had in their models for 2023-2024. It also compares with the estimates for a 25% growth in NII in Spain in 2023. Although this agreement only applies to Santander, BBVA, Sabadell and Bankinter, Álvaro Serrano believes that a…

Companies, Spanish economy 29th November 2022

S&P understands that the preferred means of resolution for Spanish mid-size banks is the sale of all their business

Santander Corporate & Research | On Friday, S&P changed their ratings for several of the mid-sized Spanish banks. On the one hand, the ratings agency revised its view on resolution strategies for the mid-sized lenders. It indicated that it now thinks the authorities’ preferred means of resolution for banks of this size is the sale of its entire activity. S&P indicates it “has gained visibility on this means of resolution…

Companies, Ibex, Spanish economy 12th November 2022

The end of TLTRO would not lead to deposit war amongst Spanish banks: liquidity coverage ratios are at 233%; Caixabank top pick

Morgan Stanley | Spanish banks have underperformed 8% since their results, despite having beat NII estimates by 4%. The market is pricing in a slowdown in NII due to the increase in the costs of deposits with the end of the TLTRO and the start of competition anticipating what we are seeing in the US. Alvaro Serrano considers this to be an inaccurate analysis, given that the situation in the…

Spanish economy 4th November 2022

The ECB replies to the Treasury: the tax on banks is discriminatory, harms solvency and slows down credit

The opinion of the European Central Bank (ECB) on the new bank tax, which is currently before Congress, is already public. The banking supervisor has issued a tough and detailed opinion in which it warns of the negative effects that the tax, as it is designed, could have on the banking sector, such as damage to profitability, competition, solvency and the granting of credit, while warning of the risks of…

Relevant News Item 2nd August 2022

Patxi López’s Inaccuracies (*)

Warinca Arce | At the presentation of the new temporary and extraordinary taxes on large energy companies and the country’s big banks, Patxi López, spokesman for the socialist parliamentary group in Congress said: “Those who are protesting are the same people who, when they, the financial institutions, had problems, knocked on the door of ‘papa Estado’ to fix their problems. And ‘daddy state’ put in 60 billion euros…”…. “So far,…

Spanish economy 22nd July 2022

The Government Will Explain Today The New Tax On The Banking Sector

The Government plans to hold a meeting this Friday with representatives of the banking sector in which it will address, among other issues, the new temporary tax on the sector announced by the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, which will last for two years and will seek to raise a total of 3,000 million. Although the meeting does not revolve around this extraordinary tax, the details of which are…

Spanish economy 14th November 2021

Spanish Bank Financing Of Oil And Gas Projects, Incompatible With The Paris Agreement

CdM | Despite adhering to international initiatives, since 2016, the top 60 banks worldwide have dedicated a total amount of $3.8 trillion to fossil fuels. The financing of fossil fuel projects and companies results in GHG emissions incompatible with the economic decarbonisation needed to limit global warming to around 1.5ºC. In the case of Spanish banks, Bankia, Bankinter, BBVA, CaixaBank, Banco Sabadell and Banco Santander have signed up to this…

Spanish economy 8th October 2021

Spanish Banks’ Yield In Q2’21 Led The Eurozone At 11.49% YoY, While Solvency Was At The Bottom With A CET1 Ratio Of 13.06%

The return on equity (RoE) of Spanish banks in the second quarter of 2021 was the highest in the euro area at 11.49% annualised, according to the ECB Thus, the profitability of Spanish banks was well above the average of 6.92% annualised for the aggregate of the 114 banks directly supervised by the central bank, of which eleven are Spanish institutions. At the opposite end of the spectrum to Spanish banks, Greek banks recorded an annualised RoE of -34.28%.

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