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Spanish Ministry of Economy Nadia Calviño and Ministry of Finance María Jesús Montero

Spanish economy 14th October 2020

The IMF Predicts A Lasting Impact Linked With The Coronavirus; Spain, Most Affected In Developed World

The International Monetary Fund revised upwards estimates of global growth in 2020 but warned of a long and asymmetric recovery with uncertainties in which Spain will be the developed economy that falls most in the year. Thus, the agency now expects world GDP to fall by 4.4% in 2020 ( against -4.9% in June), thanks to China’s performance. The IMF forecasts for Spain a fall of 12.8% in 2020 to recover 7.2% in 2021. This drop is more than double that expected for the advanced countries as a whole (-5.8%).

Spain FMI

Spanish economy 5th October 2020

Spain Needs A “Clear Governance Structure” To Oversee The Use Of European Funds, Says IMF

According to the annual review of the Spanish economy, known as ‘Article IV’, the IMF believes the impact of the European funds will increase the GDP growth forecast for 2021 to 7.2%. This compares with the previous estimate of 6.3% made in June. The final forecasts will be made known in October, when the institution will publish its biannual ‘World Economic Outlook’.

Spain tourism GDP

Spanish economy 25th June 2020

IMF Forecasts: The Heavy Weighting Of The Tourism Sector Explains Sharp Downward Revision In Spain’s Expected Growth

Bankia Estudios | None of the world’s major economies will avoid an annual contraction in GDP, with the possible exception of China, which could grow by a modest 1%, reported the institution. As for the Spanish economy, it has cut forecasts from the -8% estimated in April to -12.8%. For 2021, it estimates 6.3% growth , so that next year the level of GDP will still be 7.3% lower than in 2019 (4% in the previous revision). Spain’s worse performance is mainly due to the heavy weighting of tourism sector in GDP.

Great lockdown

World economy 15th April 2020

The IMF Predicts No One Will Be Saved In The “Great Lockdown”

The IMF points to a recessionary situation in both developed and emerging countries, during the “Great Lockdown”, as it has named the current crisis. This did not occur in 2009 Great Recession as the emerging countries then acted as a lifeline by growing by 2.82%. Also, the international organization projects that per capita growth will contract in more than 170 countries.

Current EU major challenges-Brexit and Italy budget- move but still remain stranded

In Europe 14th November 2018

Current EU Major Challenges- Brexit And Italy Budget- Move But Still Remain Stranded

The European Union lived an intense day on Tuesday. UK agreed on deal with the EU, but now the question if it will pass the test. Also Italy announced no changes in budget, while the IMF showed a cautious view. Further confrontation ahead between Rome and Brussels is expected. As commented by analysts at Julius Baer, “the EC is trapped in a philosophy of austerity whilst the Italian government is committed to fulfilling the election promises of a fiscal boost.”

Turkey

In Europe 1st June 2018

Turkey Has To Win Investor Confidence

The situation in Turkey is a good example of the negative consequences of stances which call into question the independence and credibility of the central banks. Currently, the deteriorating credibility of Turkey’s institutions make it fairly difficult for actions like the increase in rates (last week they were raised by 300 bp) to attract capital flows.

Argentina has officially asked for help from the IMF

World economy 11th May 2018

Argentina Puts Itself Into The Hands Of The IMF

President of Argentina, Mauricio Macri, has not taken long to see the writing on the wall: he has officially asked for help from the IMF. On Monday, the peso/$ devalued 5%, which is a savage drop. Domestic and foreign equity have completely lost confidence in the economic governance and have fled terrified, with huge losses, given the peso’s accumulated depreciation.

inflacion euro engranaje eurozona.384744 960 720

World economy 3rd April 2018

The word of the IMF: a more unified euro area

The IMF is forecasting global growth of over 3.9% in 2018. For the Eurozone, the forecast is for growth of 2.2%. The fifth year of economic expansion, confirming sustained and diversified growth. And the Washington-based organisation is calling for greater integration in the euro area.